This is a critical case. In it the Commission will determine the costs and prices of unbundled network elements and the avoided cost discounts for resale services. These prices will, in turn, determine whether sustainable competition will emerge in Washington State in a form that can benefit the public. It should be remembered that the entire purpose of adopting a public policy of encouraging the emergence of competition in the provision of local telecommunications services is to provide public benefits in the form of lower prices, increased innovation, and enhanced service quality. If prices are set so as to prevent the public from receiving these benefits, the entire experiment will have been a failure. Obviously the Commission has a difficult and delicate balance to strike in this case. On one hand it must set prices at a level that realistically will permit competitors to enter the local market and survive. At the same time it must ensure that the incumbent local exchange carriers whose network elements and services are being resold are fairly compensated for the use of their networks and services. In striking this balance, the Commission should be mindful of the fact that it will be argued that any price charged to a dependent competitor must be imputed into the retail price floor of the incumbent. In other words, an inappropriately high price charged to a competitor could well force unnecessary price increases to the incumbent's retail customers, which result is directly contrary to the purpose of encouraging competition in the first place. TRACER submits that the Commission can best strike the necessary balance by determining costs on a forward-looking, economic basis in a manner generally consistent with TELRIC principles as described by the FCC. In order to do so, TRACER strongly recommends that the Commission select one proxy cost model for determining the costs of unbundled network elements, assume control over that model and require changes to the algorithm and inputs it determines necessary to produce as close a measure of true TELRIC cost as reasonably possible. TRACER submits that the model that will best serve that purpose is the Hatfield model. Prices, then, should be set at or very close to the cost estimates produced by the model, using Commission prescribed inputs. TRACER is vitally interested in all of the issues presented for decision. Nevertheless, in the interest of not burdening the record, it will in this brief address only a few of the key issues regarding the estimation of costs and determination of prices for unbundled loops. In doing so, we intend not to unnecessarily duplicate discussion that will be presented by other parties. I. LEGAL PARAMETERS AND ISSUES A. Federal Law This case arises out of the Telecommunications Act of 1996 Pub. L. No. 104-104, 110 Stat. 56 (codified in several sections of Title 47, United States Code). ("the Act"), which was designed to open telecommunications markets to competition by obligating incumbent local exchange carriers ("ILECs") to facilitate the entry of competing local exchange companies ("CLECs") into local telecommunications markets throughout the country. Specifically, the Act requires an ILEC (1) to permit a requesting new entrant in the ILEC's local market to interconnect with the ILEC's existing local network for the purpose of exchanging traffic and completing calls between the two networks; (2) to provide competing carriers with access to individual elements of the ILEC's own network on an unbundled basis; and (3) to sell to competing carriers, at wholesale rates, any telecommunications service that the ILEC provides to its customers at retail rates so that the competing carrier can resell that service. 47 U.S.C.A. § 251(c)(2)-(4)(West Supp. 1997). The stated purpose of the Act is "to promote competition and reduce regulation in order to secure lower prices and higher quality services for American telecommunications consumers and encourage the rapid deployment of new telecommunications technologies." (Emphasis added.) Telecommunications Act of 1996, Pub. L. No. 104-104, purpose statement, 110 Stat. 56, 56 (1996). With respect to unbundled network elements, Section 251(c)(3) of the Act provides: UNBUNDLED ACCESS.-- The duty to provide, to any requesting telecommunications carrier for the provision of a telecommunications service, nondiscriminatory access to network elements on an unbundled basis at any technically feasible point on rates, terms, and conditions that are just, reasonable, and nondiscriminatory in accordance with the terms and conditions of the agreement and the requirements of this section and section 252. An incumbent local exchange carrier shall provide such unbundled network elements in a manner that allows requesting carriers to combine such elements in order to provide such telecommunications service. Section 252 of the Act defines the pricing standard for network elements as follows: PRICING STANDARDS.--INTERCONNECTION AND NETWORK ELEMENT CHARGES.-- Determinations by a State commission of the just and reasonable rate for the interconnection of facilities and equipment for purposes of subsection (c)(2) of section 251, and the just and reasonable rate for network elements for purposes of subsection (c)(3) of such section-- (A) shall be-- (i) based on the cost (determined without reference to a rate-of-return or other rate-based proceeding) of providing the interconnection or network element (whichever is applicable). With respect to resale, Section 251(c)(4) of the Act directs incumbent LECs (A) to offer for resale at wholesale rates any telecommunications service that the carrier provides at retail to subscribers who are not telecommunications carriers; and (B) not to prohibit, and not to impose unreasonable or discriminatory conditions or limitations on the resale of such telecommunications service, except that a State commission may, consistent with regulations prescribed by the Commission under this section, prohibit a reseller that obtains at wholesale rates a telecommunications service that is available at retail only to a category of subscribers from offering such service to a different category of subscribers. The Act further directs that "a State commission shall determine wholesale rates on the basis of retail rates charged to subscribers for the telecommunications service requested, excluding the portion thereof attributable to any marketing, billing, collection, and other costs that will be avoided by the local exchange carrier." 47 U.S.C. § 252(d)(3). On August 8, 1996, the FCC issued its First Report and Order First Report and Order, Implementation of the Local Competition Provisions in the Telecommunications Act of 1996, CC Docket No. 96-98 (Aug. 8, 1996). containing findings and rules governing, among other things, the prices that the ILECs could charge new entrant competitors for interconnection, unbundled network elements, and wholesale services. Those pricing rules were subsequently stayed Iowa Util. Bd. v. FCC, 109 F.3d 418 (8th Cir. 1996)., then overturned by the 8th Circuit Court of Appeals Iowa Util. Bd. v. FCC, F.3d (8th Cir. 1997). on the grounds that the FCC had exceeded its jurisdiction in promulgating the pricing rules regarding local telephone service. Instead, the court determined that subsections 252(c)(2) and 252(d) of the Act "undeniably authorize the state commissions to determine the prices an incumbent LEC may charge for fulfilling its duties under the Act. Iowa Util. Bd. v. FCC, supra at . In their attack on the FCC's pricing rules, a number of ILECs argued that the Act's principal purpose is to promote facilities-based competition. The 8th Circuit rejected that argument, stating: after study, we do not believe that the Act's exclusive goal is facilities-based competition. While Congress may have envisioned facilities-based competition in local telephone markets to occur down the road, Congress clearly included measures in the Act, such as the interconnection, unbundled access, and resale provisions, in order to expedite the introduction of pervasive competition into the local telecommunications industry. See H.R. Rep. No. 104-204, 1995 WL 442504 at *202-03, 494 (1995)(explaining importance of resale provision for the early development of competition and indicating that the local competition provisions "create the transition to a more competitive marketplace"). Congress recognized that the amount of time and capital investment involved in the construction of a complete local stand-beside telecommunications network are substantial barriers to entry, and thus required incumbent LECs to allow competing carriers to use their networks in order to hasten the influence of competitive forces in the local telephone business. Iowa Util. Bd. v. FCC, F.3d , at (8th Cir. 1997). In its pricing rules the FCC purported to mandate that state commissions employ the "total element long-run incremental cost" ("TELRIC") method to calculate the costs that in ILEC incurs in making its facilities available to competitors. See 47 C.F.R. §§ 51.503, 51.505 (1996). According to he FCC rules, after determining the appropriate TELRIC cost, the state commissions were to determine the price based on that TELRIC cost. While the FCC pricing rules requiring the use of the TELRIC methodology are not binding on this Commission, given the 8th Circuit's decision, those rules still retain persuasive value and reflect a thorough and sound application of economic principles to the costing and pricing requirements set forth in the Act. B. Washington Law The Commission is charged in RCW 80.01.040 with the power and duty to "[r]egulate in the public interest, as provided by the public service laws, the rates, services, facilities, and practices of all persons engaging within this state in the business of supplying any utility service or commodity to the public for compensation, and related activities; including . . . telecommunications companies . . ." Washington law requires that all rates, contracts, rules and regulations of telecommunications companies for messages, conversations, service rendered and equipment and facilities supplied shall be "fair, just, reasonable and sufficient. . ." RCW 80.36.080.Unreasonable preferences and undue rate discrimination are prohibited. RCW 80.36.170; RCW 80.36.180. And, no telecommunications company providing noncompetitive services shall, as to the pricing of or access to noncompetitive services, make or grant any undue or unreasonable preference or advantage to itself or to any other person providing telecommunications, nor subject any telecommunications company to any undue or unreasonable prejudice or competitive disadvantage. RCW 80.36.186. Finally, in discharging its regulatory responsibilities, the Commission must act to achieve the policy goals enacted by the legislature. In RCW 80.36.300 the legislature declared it is the policy of the state to: (1) Preserve affordable universal telecommunications service; (2) Maintain and advance the efficiency and availability of telecommunications service; (3) Ensure that customers pay only reasonable charges for telecommunications service; (4) Ensure that rates for noncompetitive telecommunications services do not subsidize the competitive ventures of regulated telecommunications companies; (5) Promote diversity in the supply of telecommunications services and products in telecommunications markets throughout the state; and (6) Permit flexible regulation of competitive telecommunications companies and services. To some extent all of these policy goals are impacted by this proceeding, particularly policy goals (1), (2), (3), and (5). II. COST METHODOLOGY: PRINCIPLES A. What Should Be The Goal(s) Of The Proceeding? In its Order Instituting Investigations in this case, dated November 20, 1996, the Commission set as its goal of this phase of the proceeding, the determination of an appropriate cost methodology which will be used in a subsequent phase to establish rates for interconnection, unbundled network elements, transport and termination, and a wholesale discount rate for the resale of services by U S West Communications, Inc. (USWC) and GTE Northwest Incorporated (GTE). Although there will be a strong temptation to avoid selecting a single model for determining relevant costs and, instead, use the results of all of the models sponsored by the various parties to derive some sort of "averaged" cost result, TRACER respectfully submits that would be a mistake. Instead, TRACER strongly urges the Commission to select the Hatfield proxy model to be used for determining costs and setting prices. Like all of the models submitted, the Hatfield model is flawed and should be modified both with respect to its algorithm and its inputs; nevertheless, it is the best of the models submitted, the easiest to change, the most open, and comes closest to producing true TELRIC cost estimates. If the Commission punts on selecting a model, the various provider parties will simply be encouraged to continue to exhaust the Commission's and others' resources examining the latest iteration of a gamed model designed to promote and disguise a particular company's strategic objectives. The result will be that the important determination of costs, which are the cornerstone for determining whether sustainable competition can develop, will be immune from public discussion. B. How Will The Cost Models Be Used? Whether the Commission decides to adopt the Hatfield model or to use the results of multiple models run using the same key input assumptions, the results of the model(s) should be used as the basis for setting prices for unbundled network elements. As noted previously, TRACER confines its comments in this brief to the issue of determining the costs and setting the prices for unbundled loops. Assuming the decides to adopt TELRIC principles as described by the FCC, TRACER submits that unbundled loop prices should be set at or very close to the TELRIC cost estimates for that element. As discussed more fully below, given the conservative nature of the scorched node limitation prescribed by the FCC's approach to estimating TELRIC, the cost results produced by any model purporting to follow that prescription already overstate true TELRIC. This Commission has determined in the last general rate case for USWC that Total Service Long Run Incremental Cost (TSLRIC), excluding any inclusion of shared costs, is the appropriate measure of a cost floor for a service. TELRIC, on the other hand, while somewhat related to TSLRIC, is different in an important respect. At least as defined by the FCC, TELRIC includes many costs considered shared or common under TSLRIC. Zepp Rebuttal, Ex. 163 at 3. As pointed out by Dr. Zepp, the Hatfield model's estimate of TELRIC includes both those costs classified as shared and many that are considered common, because the model estimates the direct and indirect costs of a network element, in this case loops, and because it includes a 10.4% overhead factor. As stated by Zepp: Thus, the TELRIC figures produced by the Hatfield Model include everything that would be needed to provide unbundled network elements and, as a result, these estimates of TELRIC should be considered to be price ceilings, not price floors." Id. at 4. TRACER agrees with Dr. Zepp that prices never should be set above stand-alone costs. Id. Both Zepp and AT&T witness, Klick, confirm that Hatfield model estimates are very close to stand-alone costs. Id. at 4; Tr. 622-23. Thus, by definition, the TELRIC estimates produced by the Hatfield model are very close to the economically appropriate price ceiling. As discussed by Klick on cross-examination, the Hatfield model is conservative in a number of respects -- it overstates true TELRIC costs by failing to include the effect of deferred taxes Tr. 615-18.; it models spare a considerable amount of spare capacity that can be used to serve future growth but does not include any measure of the additional growth in the line counts used to derive unit loop costs Tr. 620-21.; and many of the engineering inputs reflected engineer's judgments that did not incorporate lower price quotes the modelers received from qualified vendors. Tr. 621. In addition, as discussed below, the model does not accurately capture true economies of scale by virtue of the way it models special access DS-1 and DS-3 lines as individual loops on a channel equivalent basis. Given these overestimates of cost, or conservative assumptions, there appears to be little justification to set prices much above the TELRIC estimates produced by the Hatfield model. C. What Criteria Should The Commission Follow In Examining Cost Models? The Commission to evaluate cost models based on how closely they produce accurate measures of TELRIC, how open they are, their ability to be changed by users, and their use of publicly available or verifiable inputs. D. TELRIC And Its Definition As noted previously, in its August 8, 1996, Order in CC Docket No. 96-98, the FCC addressed the issue of proper costing for unbundled network elements under the Federal Telecommunications Act of 1996. At that time it adopted the use of TELRIC, which it claimed to be a version of TSLRIC. While not strictly binding on the states, the FCC's decision does reflect the application of sound economic principles, and, apparently, all parties to this case agree that TELRIC is the appropriate costing standard to be used by the Commission in determine network element costs. The FCC's decision regarding use of TELRIC sets forth some important qualifying terms that bound the appropriate application of TELRIC principles. They include the following: (1) "Adopting a [TELRIC] pricing methodology based on forward-looking, economic costs best replicates, to the extent possible, the conditions of a competitive market." ¶ 679. (2) "[U]nder a TELRIC methodology, incumbent LECs' prices for interconnection and unbundled network elements shall recover the forward-looking costs directly attributable to the specified element, as well as a reasonable allocation of forward-looking common costs." ¶ 682. (3) "Any function necessary to produce a network element must have an associated cost." ¶ 691. (4) "Per-unit costs shall be derived from total costs using reasonably accurate 'fill factors' (estimates of the proportion of a facility that will be 'filled' with network usage); that is, the per-unit costs associated with a particular element must be derived by dividing the total cost associated with the element by a reasonable projection of the actual total usage of the element." ¶ 682. (5) "Directly attributable forward-looking costs include the incremental costs of facilities and operations that are dedicated to the element . . ., [and also] the incremental costs of shared facilities and operations . . . .[These costs for local loops] shall include not only the cost of the installed copper wire and telephone poles but also the cost of payroll and other back office operations related to the line technicians, in addition to other attributable costs." ¶ 682. (6) "Costs must be attributed on a cost-causative basis. Costs are causally-related to the network elements being provided if the costs are incurred as a direct result of providing the network elements, or can be avoided, in the long run, when the company ceases to provide them." ¶ 691. (7) "The term 'long run' . . . refers to a period long enough so that all of a firm's costs become variable or avoidable." ¶ 677. "This 'long run' approach ensures that rates recover . . . fixed investment costs . . . directly attributable to providing the element." ¶ 692. (8) "[Under TELRIC] assume that wire centers will be placed at the incumbent LEC's current wire center locations, but that the reconstructed local network will employ the most efficient technology for reasonably foreseeable capacity requirements." ¶ 685. "Costs must be based on the incumbent LEC's existing wire center locations and most efficient technology available." ¶ 690. (9) "The increment that forms the basis for a TELRIC study shall be the entire quantity of the network element provided." ¶ 690. (10) "[T]he forward-looking costs of capital (debt and equity) needed to support investments required to produce a given element shall be included in the forward-looking direct cost of that element." ¶ 691. (11) "Retailing costs, such as marketing or consumer billing costs associated with retail services, are not attributable to the production of network elements that are offered to interconnecting carriers and must not be included in the forward-looking direct cost of an element." ¶ 691. These statements provide practical instruction regarding application of the theoretical constructs. While several important issues are not addressed, the bounds of the costing environment are clearly delineated. There is one aspect of this "scorched node" costing approach that should be mentioned. That is what TCG witness Montgomery refers to as "a very fragile assumption in the sense that it doesn't represent what anybody would actually do." In other words, to the extent the scorched node assumption reflects an attempt to measure the market value of the incumbents' facilities as limited by what it would cost to build a replacement network sufficient to serve the same demand, that assumption is conservative and overstates what any provider, a new entrant or the incumbent, would actually do. In fact, it is highly unlikely any entrant would actually duplicate the existing wire center locations of the incumbent. To that extent, the scorched node assumption will produce TELRIC estimates that exceed true TELRIC costs. The conservative nature of any cost estimate produced by a proxy model that uses the scorched node assumption should be taken into account in setting prices for unbundled network elements. F. Actual Or Embedded Costs And Their Utility The costing framework defined by the FCC is based on the assumption that under a competitive environment, and for a long run planning horizon, production cannot be influenced by what has gone before; i.e., past investment or strategic decisions and their results as shown on the incumbents' books of accounts. Admittedly, some aspects of past decisions may continue since these frame the best course of future action. However, the influence of these past decisions merely indicate the status of the current environment by happenstance. While the policies of incumbents may be followed by their managerial heirs, and entrants alike, they need not be. In any event, the fate of "stranded investment" is of no import for TELRIC determinations. In short, the following have no direct relevance to the costing process under the FCC's order: (1) "actual costs" in the sense of historical costs as the incumbents use that term, and (2) the comparison of forecast figures against costs of service under current conditions to test a model's "validity." For (1), the figures are irrelevant since they do not result from a competitive environment or from forecasting/projecting activities. For (2), if the forecasting algorithm is sensical economically, and satisfies model constraints, e.g., providing service to all customers thought to be served, current figures are simply not of comparative value. III. COST MODELS C. Network Architecture Issues 2. Loop Lengths And Line Counts There is significant disagreement among the parties regarding the appropriate measure of line counts to be used in developing loop costs. The issue of the proper treatment of special access DS-1 and DS-3 lines is discussed below in section IV(C)(7). Apart from that, the parties disagree on the proper treatment of investment placed to accommodate future growth. The Hatfield model designs a network intended to serve only the existing level of demand, utilizing objective fill assumptions of 85%. However, because of the modularity of cable sizes, considerable spare capacity is actually modelled, which can be used to serve future growth. While the investment for growth happens to be included in the model, there is no inclusion or accounting for increased line counts resulting from future growth when unit costs are calculated. In effect, then, the costs of excess capacity is charged to current users. Current users pay too much for their offerings, while future users pay too little. In this sense, the Hatfield model overestimates the appropriate measure of TELRIC and should be modified. This issue is discussed by AT&T witness, Klick, at Tr. 620-21. The problem is compounded in the USWC, GTE, and BCPM models. They specifically include investment designed to accommodate growth, as well as reflect the effects of modularity spare based on that additional investment. This is particularly acute in the case of distribution plant, which these modelers assume is deployed to serve ultimate demand. The rationale is that the most significant element of distribution costs in a TELRIC environment is placement cost; therefore, there are economies to be achieved by placing sufficient cable to serve future demand at the outset, thereby avoiding digging up streets, sidewalks, driveways, etc. to reinforce plant when the demand materializes. However, these modelers do not include any of the future demand in the line counts used as the divisor in calculating unit costs. In effect, they charge the costs of serving future demand to current customers. As noted by Klick, this is inappropriate. If there are significant economies associated with building plant today to serve future demand, TRACER agrees that additional investment should be included in a properly designed TELRIC study. However, the costs of this excess capacity to serve future demand should not be recovered exclusively from current customers; it should be spread proportionately over current and reasonably expected future demand. Failure to do so significantly overstates the appropriate measure of TELRIC. Either that investment placed to serve future demand should be removed from the ILEC cost model inputs or the line counts used in the divisor should be increased. IV. OTHER MODEL AND INPUT ISSUES C. Investment 1. Structure Sharing The assumption made about the extent to which structure costs will be shared among utilities will have a significant impact on the final estimate of loop costs, and the parties disagree violently about what level of sharing is appropriate in a scorched node environment. The GTE model makes minimal or no allowance for the sharing of loop structure. Klick Rebuttal, Ex. 31 at 33. The USWC RLCAP model assumes USWC shares the placement costs of buried cable on 17% of the time and shares the cost of poles used to provide aerial cable are shared 50% of the time. The model assumes underground conduit is never shared with any other party. Zepp Direct, Ex. 162., Ex. URI-2 at 26. The default assumptions in the BCPM model are only slightly different. They reflect 50% sharing for aerial cable and varying degrees of sharing for underground and buried cable, depending on density zone, ranging from no sharing in the lowest density zone to a maximum where the ILEC bears 85% of the costs of feeder structure and 80% of the costs of distribution structure in the highest density zone. Klick Rebuttal, Ex. 31 at 39. The Hatfield model varies the percent of sharing by density zone ranging from no sharing for underground conduit in the lowest density zone to allocating 75% of the structure cost responsibility to others for poles in the highest density zone. Spinks Direct, Ex. 104 at 8. On average, Hatfield assumes 33% sharing for underground and buried cable. The model provides the user with the ability to set structure sharing percentages by both type of plant and by density zone. Klick Direct, adopted by Mercer, Ex. 36 at 7. In its cross-examination of AT&T witness, Dean Fassett, USWC challenged the reasonableness of the Hatfield sharing assumption as applied to the direct plow method of installing buried plant. Tr. 324. Fassett responded that, while it is more difficult to share direct plowing, that installation method is "a very cheap way of placing facilities." Id. He then expanded on that response by stating: "We've had plowing estimates of 50 cents or less per foot, so if you break that down with the sharing where we have right now $1.77, I believe, for the lowest density so that it actually comes out the same costs of the telephone company [if you assume 33% sharing]." Tr. 325. USWC also challenged the Hatfield sharing assumption as it applies to feeder cables, citing a recommendation in the AT&T Outside Plant Handbook advising against joint trenching of feeder cables with power facilities. Tr. 325. Fassett responded that the referenced recommendation was not being followed by USWC and several other RBOCs: There's a recommendation in there that states that they would recommend that feeder not be placed in joint trenches. However, that practice is not being followed by U S WEST, as Mr. Larry Schlupp, who was their 14-state construction manager, states in his [deposition], that they've jointly placed buried with the power company. It's very economical to do it that way, and recently telephone companies, including U S WEST, have started placing inner duct with their cable facilities that they are placing at the time, so the reason that the handbook had recommended not placing feeder in a joint structure was the fact that you would be limited as far as getting back there. Now, with the placement of inner ducts at the time of the initial placement the reinforcement of that feeder cable is not really an issue. Tr. 326. While the recommendation in the AT&T handbook cited by USWC warrants caution in applying an aggressive sharing assumption for feeder trenching, Fassett's response provides ample justification for employing a reasonable sharing assumption in that circumstance. TRACER submits that the sharing assumptions presented in the USWC RLCAP, the GTE LTM, and the BCPM models are unreasonable in the context of a forward-looking, scorched node environment. The fact that those sharing assumptions generally reflect historical sharing experience is irrelevant. As pointed out by AT&T/MCI witness, Nina Cornell, a carrier operating in a regulated environment has limited or no incentive to share structure costs because it receives a return on all investments in its ratebase. This is in direct contrast to a carrier operating in a competitive environment which would have a strong incentive to share in order to cut costs. Tr. 651. This would be particularly true for a carrier facing a large, planned network buildout as would be the case in a scorched node environment. TRACER agrees with Staff witness, Thomas Spinks, that "forward looking economic costs should reflect an amount of sharing that could reasonably expected